Mermaid chapter 1

mindmap
    root((Capabilities))
        Chapter Overview
            State-of-the-Art AI
                Language
                Image Generation
                Multi & Cross Modality
                Robotics
                Playing Games
                Foundation Models
            Fine-tuning
            Limitations & Risks
            Terminology
        Capabilities vs. Intelligence
            Definitions of Advanced AI Systems
                Artificial Narrow Intelligence
                Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)
                Human-Level AI (HLAI)
                Transformative AI (TAI)
                Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI)
            t,n-AGI Framework
        Leveraging Computation
            The Bitter Lesson
            Scaling Laws
            Scaling Hypotheses
                Weak Scaling Hypothesis
                Strong Scaling Hypothesis
        Forecasting
            Zeroth-Order Forecasting
                Reference Classes
                Anchors
            First-Order Forecasting
                Current Trends Analysis
                Rate of Change Calculation
            Biological Anchors Framework
                Evolution Anchor
                Lifetime Anchor
                Neural Network Anchors
                Genome Anchor
            Affordability of Compute
        Takeoff
            Speed
                Slow Takeoff
                Fast Takeoff
            Continuity
                Continuous Takeoff
                Discontinuous Takeoff
            Similarity
                Homogeneous Takeoff
                Heterogeneous Takeoff
            Polarity
                Unipolar Takeoff
                Multipolar Takeoff
        Appendices
            Expert Opinions
                Surveys
                Expert Quotes
                Prediction Markets
            Discussions on LLMs
                Empirical Insufficiency
                Shallow Understanding
                Structural Inadequacy
                Differences with the Brain
                Reasons to Continue Scaling LLMs
            Trends
                Compute Trends
                Model Size Trends
                Algorithmic Trends
                Data Trends